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Displaying results 11 - 20 of 306

The Current Methods of Futures Research

Publication Date

August 1971

Author

T. Gordon

Report Number

P-11

Topic Category

Forecasting Methodologies

Keywords

forecast
probability of occurrence
probability distribution
cross impact matrix

Can the Concepts and Institutions of Personal Insurance Survive Our Changing Systems?

Publication Date

January 1971

Author

T. Gordon

Report Number

P-12

Topic Category

Equitable Futures

Keywords

equal employment opportunity
strategic planning committee

The Construction of Delphi Statements; pub­lished in Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 3, pp. 65-73, reprint

Publication Date

April 1971

Author

J. Salancik
W. Wenger
E. Helfer

Report Number

P-13

Topic Category

Forecasting Methodologies

Keywords

forecast
probability of occurrence
probability distribution
cross impact matrix

Forecasting: From Conjectural Art Toward Science

Publication Date

June 1972

Author

R. Amara
J. Salancik

Report Number

P-14

The difference between futures forecasting and scientific prediction is not one of rigor but of purpose. The scientist's purpose is to test a specific model about the world; anything which threatens that test must be controlled by (a) elimination, (b) experimental manipulation, or ( c) statistical manipulation. The futures researcher's goal, however, is not to test a model but to suggest ( through discovery or logic) a model which encompasses and extends our perception of reality sufficiently well to permit choices or decisions to be made.

Topic Category

Forecasting Methodologies

Keywords

forecast
probability of occurrence
probability distribution
cross impact matrix

Cross-Impact Techniques in Technology As­sessment; published in Futures, March 1972, pp. 30-51

Publication Date

September 1971

Author

S. Enzer

Report Number

P-15

Topic Category

Forecasting Methodologies

Keywords

forecast
probability of occurrence
probability distribution
cross impact matrix

The Social Responsibility of Business

Publication Date

April 1972

Author

R. Amara

Report Number

P-16

Since the term "social responsibility " can be interpreted in many ways, it must be carefully defined at the outset. In the present context, "social responsibilities of business" are defined as expectations arising from the transactions between a corporation and the following principal societal claimants : shareholders (including bond holders) ; employees; consumers; government; public; suppliers; and competitors . The social aspects of business responsibility stem from the two-sided relationships between business and the society which created it and which it in turn serves.

Topic Category

Equitable Futures

Keywords

human scale
governance
alienation

Japanese Competition in the Information Indus­try

Publication Date

May 1972

Author

P. Baran

Report Number

P-17

Topic Category

Technology

Keywords

immigration
slower growth
rapid increase
coming decade
force growth
young

A Framework for National Science Policy Analyses; published in IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Vol. SMC-2, No. 1, January 1972, reprint

Publication Date

January 1972

Author

R. Amara

Report Number

P-18

Topic Category

Technology

Keywords

alternative futures
planning programming budgeting
automobile insurance
formulate
societal processes
making decisions
systems analysis
early warning

Some Views on the Use of Expert Judgment

Publication Date

November 1972

Author

R. Amara
A. Lipinski

Report Number

P-19

Topic Category

Forecasting Methodologies

Keywords

forecast
probability of occurrence
probability distribution
cross impact matrix

Toward a Framework for National Goals and Policy Research; published in IEEE Transac­tions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Vol. SMC-2, November 5, 1972, pp. 603-609

Publication Date

November 1972

Author

R. Amara

Report Number

P-20

Topic Category

Technology

Keywords

alternative futures
planning programming budgeting
automobile insurance
formulate
societal processes
making decisions
systems analysis
early warning
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  • Emerging Media (85)
  • Equitable Futures (48)
  • Food (1)
  • Forecasting Methodologies (37)
  • Governance (34)
  • Health and Wellness (37)
  • Manufacturing Technology (12)
  • Technology (28)
  • Work & Learn (12)

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