Some Commercial and Industrial Aspects of the Space Program
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Space provides platforms from which it is possible to link any two global locations, thus making line-of-sight communication via satellite a reality. Use of space communication links is currently limited more by economic than by technological factors. The economics of space communication systems is of prime concern in exploiting the industrial applications of space.
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Potential Institutional Arrangements of Organizations Involved in the Exploitation of Remotely Sensed Earth Resources Data
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Long-Range Forecasting—Roles and Methods; presented at the Conference on Forecasting the Future, Harrogate, England
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Information Theory, Cross-Impact Matrices, and Pivotal Events
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Comparison of Delphi Forecasting Studies in 1964 and 1969
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On the State-of-the-Art of Computer Development by the Year 2000; prepared in conjunction with the Working Group on the Social Implications of the Computer of the Commission for the Year 2000
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The Current Methods of Futures Research
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The Construction of Delphi Statements; published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 3, pp. 65-73, reprint
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Forecasting: From Conjectural Art Toward Science
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The difference between futures forecasting and scientific prediction is not one of rigor but of purpose. The scientist's purpose is to test a specific model about the world; anything which threatens that test must be controlled by (a) elimination, (b) experimental manipulation, or ( c) statistical manipulation. The futures researcher's goal, however, is not to test a model but to suggest ( through discovery or logic) a model which encompasses and extends our perception of reality sufficiently well to permit choices or decisions to be made.